An Assessment of the Investment Climate in China: Key Indicator Analysis

An Assessment of the Investment Climate in China: Key Indicator Analysis

Apr 2014 Market Intelligence & Consulting Institute Education344 Pages Price :
$ 2500
Amid the economic slowdown in Europe and North America, China - though still growing upwards in 2013 - is facing headwinds in the wake of rising labor and land costs. Coupled with China\'s fast-changing policy, laws and environments pertaining to foreign investment, it is getting tougher for foreign companies to invest and doing business in China. 

This report, serving as a reference for foreign companies when making investment decisions, is the aggregated results of China\'s investment climate survey conducted by TEEMA (Taiwan Electrical and Electronic Manufacturers\' Association) and key indicators in the economic and political aspects are addressed and examined. This report also includes Taiwanese businesspeople\' comments and suggestions on how to invest in China.
Table of Content

Part 1 Current Status and Future Development of Global Economy

Chapter 1 Paradigm Shifts Observed by TEEMA
1.1Paradigm Shifts
1.1.1 Paradigm Shift 1: from investment-led to domestic need-led
1.1.2 Paradigm Shift 2: from labor-intensive to intelligence-intensive
1.1.3 Paradigm Shift 3: from city-oriented to region-oriented
1.1.4 Paradigm Shift 4: from manufacturing to innovation

Chapter 2 Global Economic Development Outlook and Trends
2.1 Global New Economic Development
2.2 Economic Forecasts of Worldwide Research Organizations
2.3 Shifts in Economic Development Trends
2.3.1 Trend 1: transition from the West to the East
2.3.2 Trend 2: transition from developed markets to emerging markets
2.3.3 Trend 3: transition from Washington consensus to Beijing consensus
2.3.4 Trend 4: transition from back-to-Asia to rebalanced Asia
2.3.5 Trend 5: from unilateral trade agreement to regional trade alliance

Part 2 The Outlook for Political and Economic Reform Under the Xi Jinping – Li Keqiang Administration

Chapter 3 China\'s New Political and Economic Vision Under the Xi – Li Administration
3.1The Reforms Introduced by the Xi – Li Administration Will Usher in a New Era for China
3.1.1Eight Rules
3.1.2Ten Prohibitions
3.1.3Working to upgrade China\'s economic development model
3.1.4The Central Economic Work Conference
3.1.5Clean Government
3.1.6 The Three Public Expenditures
3.2 A New Vision for Realizing the Chinese Dream
3.2.1 Ensuring economic stability: Maintaining steady growth, controlling inflation and risk
3.2.2 Transforming the fundamentals of China\'s economy: Restructuring, upgrading, and creating new opportunities
3.2.3 Drawing up the plans for a \"Beautiful China\": Idealism, careful roadmap formulation, and creation of a new environment
3.3\"Likonomics\" Leads the Way towards a Transformation of the Chinese Economy
3.3.1 The Background to Likonomics
3.3.2 The three pillars of Likonomics
3.3.2.1 No stimulus
3.3.2.2 Deleveraging
3.3.2.3 Structural Reform
3.3.3The three key features of Likonomics

Chapter 4 The New Challenges that will Affect the Xi – Li Administration\'s Reform Program
4.1 Analysis of the 16 Major Challenges Relating to the Xi – Li Reforms
4.1.1 Political Challenges
4.1.2.Economic Development Challenges
4.1.3. Social Challenges
4.1.4Technological and Environmental Challenges

Chapter 5 New Business Opportunities Created by the Dividends from the Xi – Li Reforms in China
5.1 New Dividends Created in the Chinese Market
5.1.1 The Reform Dividend
5.1.2 The Domestic Demand Dividend
5.1.3 The Transformation Dividend
5.1.4 The Innovation Dividend
5.1.5 The Knowledge Dividend
5.2 The Outlook for the New Four Modernizations in China
5.2.1 Industries that will Benefit from the New Urbanization
5.2.1.1 The Cement and Construction Materials Industry
5.2.1.2 The Green Building Industry
5.2.1.3 The Healthcare Services Industry
5.2.2 Industries that will Benefit from the Modernization of Agriculture
5.2.2.1 The Machinery Manufacturing Industry
5.2.2.2 The Biotechnology Industry
5.2.2.3 The Food Processing Industry
5.2.3 Industries that will Benefit from Informatization
5.2.3.1 The Internet Industry
5.2.3.2 The Telecommunications Industry
5.2.3.3 The Cloud Computing Industry
5.2.4 Industries that will Benefit from the New Industrialization
5.2.4.1 The Automation and Control Industry
5.2.4.2 The 3D Printing Industry
5.2.4.3 The Smart Device Industry
5.3 The Business Opportunities Relating to the Beautiful China Vision
5.3.1 Ecological China: Reforestation, Environmental Restoration, and Park Development
5.3.2 Smart China: Smart Transportation, Smart Building and Smart Healthcare
5.3.3 Green China: LED Manufacturing, the Petrochemical Sector, and the Photovoltaics Industry
5.3.4 Cultural and Creative China: the Film Production Industry, Publishing Industry, and Digital Content Industry
5.3.5 Healthy China: Biomedicine, Health Foods, and Anti-aging Products
5.3.6 Happy China: The religious and spiritual sectors
Part 3 Recent Trends in the State of the Chinese Economy

Chapter 6 The Chinese Economy in 2013, and the Near-term Outlook
6.1China\'s GDP Growth as Forecast by Leading Research Institutes
6.2 Eight Scenarios for China\'s Future Economic Development
6.2.1 Chinese Political and Economic Impact Scenarios
6.2.1.1 The \"Rise of China\" Scenario
6.2.1.2 The \"Reliance on China\" Scenario
6.2.1.3 The \"Collapse of China\" Scenario
6.2.1.4 The \"Chinese Threat\" Scenario
6.2.2 Chinese Economic Recovery Scenarios
6.2.2.1 Scenario 1: Weak Recovery
6.2.2.2 Scenario 2: Wave-type Recovery
6.2.3 Chinese Economic Recovery Scenarios
6.2.3.1Scenario 1: U-Shaped Recovery
6.2.3.2 Type 2: N-shaped Recovery
6.2.3.3 Scenario 3: W-shaped Recovery
6.2.3.4 Scenario 4: An Inverted V-shape
6.2.4 Chinese Economic Outlook Scenarios
6.2.4.1The Optimistic Outlook
6.2.4.2 The \"Happy Medium\" Outlook
6.2.4.3 The Pessimistic Outlook
6.2.5 Scenarios Involving the Maintenance by China of a Growth Rate of Around 8%
6.2.5.1 Maintaining an Economic Growth Rate of 8.0% or Higher
6.2.5.2Maintaining an Economic Growth Rate of 8.00% or Lower
6.2.6 Economic Hard/Soft Landing Scenarios for China
6.2.6.1 China has Already Had a Soft Landing
6.2.6.2China Has Already Experienced a Hard Landing
6.2.6.3China is Just in the Process of Experiencing a Soft Landing
6.2.6.4 China is Just in the Process of Experiencing a Hard Landing
6.2.7 The Chinese Economic Contradictions Scenario
6.2.7.1 Investment Expansion and Investment Contraction
6.2.7.2 Loose Monetary Policy versus Tight Monetary Policy
6.2.7.3 Revaluation of the RMB versus Devaluation of the RMB
6.2.7.4 Managing the Real Estate Market, and the Rapid Rise in Housing Prices
6.2.7.5Maintaining Growth versus Containing Inflationary Pressure
6.2.7.6 Boosting Tax Revenue versus Cutting Taxes
6.2.8 China\'s Economy – Hot or Cold?
6.2.8.1 Hot at the Macro Level, Cold at the Micro Level
6.2.8.2Investment Booms While Consumption is Slack
6.2.8.3 Imports Rise While Exports Falter
6.2.8.4 The Housing Market Booms While the Stock Market Remains Depressed
6.2.8.5 Government Authorities Continue to Invest Heavily, While the Private Sector has Grown More Cautious
6.2.8.6State-owned Enterprises are Flourishing While Private-sector Firms Suffer
6.2.8.7 A Boom in Sales of Low-priced Goods, While Sales of Luxury Goods Remain Weak
6.2.8.8 A Growth in the Number of Chinese People Returning to China After Studying or Working Overseas, While the Rate of Growth in the Number of Chinese Going Overseas Slows
6.2.8.9 Focusing More on Quality and Less on Quantity

Chapter 7 The Political and Economic Environment in China in 2013, and the Key Challenges
7.1 The Restructuring of China\'s Economic Development Model
7.1.1 Dangers Relating to the Transformation of the Government\'s Role: The Systemic Transformation Threat
7.1.2 Dangers Affecting the Economic Development Process: The Middle Income Trap
7.1.3 Dangers Affecting the Consumer Market: The Liquidity Trap
7.1.4 Dangers Affecting the Transformation of Chinese Industry: The Risk Associated with a High Business Closure Rate
7.2Transforming China\'s Economic Development Model
7.2.1 Dangers Faced During Structural Adjustment: Transformation and Upgrading Risk
7.2.2 Problems Experienced in Attracting Investment: The Challenge of \"Building a Nest to Attract a Phoenix\"
7.2.3 Problems Relating to Regional Development: The Dangers Presented by the \"Great Western Development\" Initiative
7.2.4 Problems Relating to the Transfer of Political Power: The Dangers Posed by the Transition of Power to China\'s New Leadership

Chapter 8 China\'s Economy and Foreign Trade in 2013 – Risks and Problems
8.1 The Ten Major Risks Affecting the Chinese Economy
8.1.1The Economy as a Whole
8.1.1.1 Risk No. 1: The Risk Associated with Local Government Debt
8.1.1.2 Risk No. 2: The Risk Associated with Easy Credit
8.1.1.3 Risk No. 3: The Risk Associated with Worsening Environmental Pollution
8.1.1.4 Risk No. 4: The Risk Associated with the Asset Bubble
8.1.1.5 Risk No. 5: The Risk Associated with the \"Shadow Banking\" Sector
8.1.1.6 Risk No. 6: The Risk Associated with Inflationary Pressure
8.1.2 Risks Affecting Individual Businesses
8.1.2.1 Risk No. 1: Inventory Risk
8.1.2.2 Risk No. 2: The Risk of Corporate Decline
8.1.2.3 Risk No. 3: The Risk of the Supply Chain Being Broken
8.1.2.4 Risk No. 4: The Danger of a \"Brain Drain\"

Chapter 9 New Investment Districts and New Administration in China in 2013
9.1 China\'s State-level New Areas
9.1.1 The Pudong New Area (Shanghai)
9.1.1.1 Positioning of the Pudong New Area:
9.1.1.2 Strategy for Development of the Pudong New Area:
9.1.1.3 Development Goals for the Pudong New Area:
9.1.2 The Binhai New Area (Tianjin)
9.1.2.1 Positioning of the Binhai New Area:
9.1.2.2 Strategy for Development of the Binhai New Area:
9.1.2.3 Development Goals for the Binhai New Area:
9.1.3 The Liangjiang New Area (Chongqing)
9.1.3.1 Positioning of the Liangjiang New Area:
9.1.3.2 Strategy for Development of the Liangjiang New Area:
9.1.3.3 Development Goals for the Liangjiang New Area:
9.1.4 The Zhoushan Archipelago New Area (Zhejiang)
9.1.4.1 Positioning of the Zhoushan Archipelago New Area
9.1.4.2 Strategy for Development of the Zhoushan Archipelago New Area
9.1.4.3 Development Goals for the Zhoushan Archipelago New Area
9.1.5 The Lanzhou New Area (Gansu)
9.1.5.1 Positioning of the Lanzhou New Area
9.1.5.2 Strategy for Development of the Lanzhou New Area
9.1.5.3 Development Goals for the Lanzhou New Area:
9.1.6 The Nansha New Area (Guangzhou)
9.1.6.1 Positioning of the Nansha New Area
9.1.6.2 Strategy for Development of the Nansha New Area
9.1.6.3 Development Goals for the Nansha New Area
9.2 Pilot Free Trade Zones
9.2.1 The China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone
9.2.1.1 Background:
9.2.1.2 Scope of Project:
9.2.1.3 Incentive Measures:
9.2.1.4 The Outlook for the Future:
9.3 Pilot Collaboration Zones
9.3.1 The Kunshan Deepen Cross-strait Industrial Cooperation Experimental Zone
9.3.1.1 Background:
9.3.1.2 Scope of Project:
9.3.1.3 Incentive Measures:
9.3.1.4 The Outlook for the Future:
9.3.2 Shenzhen Qianhai Shengang Modern Service Industries Cooperation Zone
9.3.2.1 Background:
9.3.2.2 Scope of Project:
9.3.2.3 Incentive Measures:
9.3.2.4 The Outlook for the Future:

Part 4 Chinese City Rankings

Chapter 10 Structure of 2013 TEEMA Report
10.1 Evaluation of Chinese Cities\' Comprehensive Competitiveness
10.1.1 City Competitiveness
10.1.2 Investment Environment
10.1.3 Investment Risks
10.1.4 Degree of Recommendation by Taiwanese Businesspeople
10.2 TEEMA Survey Sample Collection from 2009 to 2013
10.3 Analysis of Taiwanese Businesspeople\' Future Deployment Plans
10.4 Taiwanese Businesspeople\'s Performance in China
10.5 Taiwanese Businesspeople\'s Business Disputes in China
10.6 Chinese Cities for Taiwanese Businesspeople\'s Future Deployment
10.7 Chinese Cities for Taiwanese Businesspeople\'s Future Deployment by Industry
10.7.1 High-tech Industry
10.7.2 Traditional Industry
10.7.3 Service Industry

Chapter 11 Evaluation of Chinese City Competitiveness

Chapter 12 Chinese Investment Environment
12.1 Indicators of Chinese Investment Environment Evaluation in 2013
12.1.1 Ecologic Conditions
12.1.2 Infrastructure
12.1.3 Social Conditions
12.1.4 Legal Environment
12.1.5 Economic Environment
12.1.6 Business Operating Environment
12.1.7 Innovation
12.1.8 Network Communications
12.1.9 Domestic Needs
12.1.10 Cultural &Creative Environment
12.1.11. Investment Environment as a whole
12.2 Comparison of China\'s Investment Environment in 2012 and 2013
12.2.1 General Performance of the 69 Indicators
12.2.2 Difference Analysis of the 69 Indicators
12.2.3 Decline Rate Analysis of the 69 Indicators
12.2.4. Comparison of the Ten Aspects
12.3 China\'s Investment Environment Evaluation by City in 2013
12.3.1 Top Ten Best Cities
12.3.2. Top Ten Worst Cities
12.4 Changes in China\'s Investment Environment, 2012 - 2013
12.4.1 Top Ten Growing Cities
12.4.2 Top Ten Declining Cities
12.5 China\'s Investment Environment Evaluation by Region in 2013

Chapter 13 Investment Risks in China
13.1 Chinese Investment Risk Evaluation in 2013
13.1.1 Social Risks
13.1.2 Legal Risks
13.1.3 Economic Risks
13.1.4 Business Operating Risks
13.1.5 Business Transformation Risks
13.1.6 Investment Risks as a Whole
13.1.7 Changes in Investment Risk Rankings
13.2 Comparison of China\'s Investment Risks in 2012 and 2013
13.2.1 General Performance of the 37 Indicators
13.2.2 Difference Analysis of the 37 Indicators
13.2.3 Top Ten Best Indicators
13.2.4 Top Ten Worst Indicators
13.2.5 Comparison of the Five Aspects
13.3 China\'s Investment Risk Evaluation by City in 2013
13.3.1 Top Ten Cities with Lowest Investment Risks
13.3.2 Top Ten Cities with the Highest Investment Risks in 2013
13.4 Changes in China\'s Investment Risks, 2012 - 2013
13.4.1 Top Ten Cities with Growing Investment Risks
13.4.2 Top Ten Cities with Declining Investment Risks
13.5 China\'s Investment Risk Evaluation by Region in 2013

Chapter 14 Degree of Recommendation by Taiwanese Businesspeople in China
14.1 Evaluation of Degree of Recommendation by Taiwanese Businesspeople in 2013
14.1.1 Top Ten Recommended Cities
14.1.2 Ten Least Recommended Cities
14.1.3 Top Ten Recommendation Indicators
14.2 Changes in Degree of Recommendation, 2012 - 2013
14.2.1 Top Ten Growing Cities
14.2.2 Top Ten Declining Cities

Part 4 New Competitiveness Ranking of Chinese Cities

Chapter 15 TEEMA\'s Survey of the Overall Competitiveness of Chinese Cities
I5.1 The 2013 TEEMA Ranking of the Overall Competitiveness of Chinese Cities
15.1.1 Kunshan (Suzhou)
15.1.1.1 Advantage No. 1 [Responsive, efficient local government]:
15.1.1.2 Advantage No. 2 [Diversified urban functionality]:
15.1.1.3 Advantage No. 3 [Technology-intensive industry clusters]:
15.1.1.4 Advantage No. 4 [An existing critical mass of Taiwanese companies already operating in the area]:
15.1.1.5 Advantage No. 5 [A forward-looking approach]:
15.1.2Suzhou Industrial Park
15.1.2.1 Advantage No. 1 [Emerging industry clusters]:
15.1.2.2 Advantage No. 2 [An abundant supply of high-end manpower]:
15.1.2.3 Advantage No. 3 [Building a \"Smart City\"]:
15.1.2.4 Advantage No. 4 [Convenient business services]:
15.1.2.5 Advantage No. 5 [Amiable living environment]:
15.1.3 Xiaoshan (Hangzhou)
15.1.3.1 Advantage No. 1 [Financial platform development]:
15.1.3.2 Advantage No. 2 [A convenient transportation network]:
15.1.3.3 Advantage No. 3 [Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Guidance]:
15.1.3.4 Advantage No. 4 [Focusing on convenient services]:
15.1.3.5 Advantage No. 5 [Rapid growth in investment]:
15.2 Analysis of Changes in Recommendation Level Ratings in the 2012 and 2013 TEEMA Survey Reports
15.2.1Changes in the lineup of cities included for evaluation in the 2012 and 2013 TEEMA Surveys:
15.2.2Changes in the investment environment of the cities included for evaluation in the 2012 and 2013 TEEMA Surveys:
15.3 The 2013 TEEMA Survey Report Ranking of China\'s 11 Major Economic Zones
15.4 Analysis of the Cities that Posted the Biggest Improvement in Ranking in the 2012 – 2013 TEEMA Surveys
15.4.1 Reasons for the rise in the ranking of Songjiang (Shanghai):
15.4.2 Reasons for the rise in the ranking of Zhuhai:
15.4.3 Reasons for the rise in the ranking of Shenyang:
15.4.4 Reasons for the rise in the ranking of Taicang (Suzhou):
15.4.5 Reasons for the rise in the ranking of Yizhuang (Beijing):
15.5 Analysis of the Cities that Posted the Biggest Deterioration in Ranking in the 2012 – 2013 TEEMA Surveys
15.5.1 Reasons for the fall in the ranking of Fuzhou City Center:
15.5.2 Reasons for the fall in the ranking of Wenzhou:
15.5.3Reasons for the fall in the ranking of Jinan:
15.5.4 Reasons for the fall in the ranking of Houjie (Dongguan):

Chapter 16 Top Ten Best Cities by Single Indicator in 2013

Chapter 17 China\'s Regional Development Potential in 2013
17.1 Evaluation of China\'s Regional Development Potential by 2013 TEEMA Report
17.2 China\'s Regional Development Potential Rankings in 2013

Part 5 Conclusions of 2013 TEEMA Report

Chapter 18 Important Trends and Discoveries in 2013
18.1 Analysis by Sample Structure
18.1.1 Trend 1: Increase in returning overseas Taiwanese investments for four consecutive years
18.1.2 Trend 2: Increase in Trade Disputes among Taiwanese Businesses
18.1.3 Trend 3: Taiwanese Businesspeople Growing Pessimistic about Future Business Performance in China
18.1.4 Trend 4: Increase in Taiwanese Businesspeople\' Deployment in Non-Chinese Cities
18.2 Analysis of Evaluation Aspects
18.2.1 Trend 1: Constant Decline in Investment Environment for Five Consecutive Years
18.2.2 Trend 2: Increase in Investment Risks for 2 Consecutive Years
18.2.3 Trend 3: Constant Decline in Degree of Recommendation by Taiwanese Businesspeople for Three Consecutive Years326
18.3 Analysis of Chinese Cities\' Comprehensive Competitiveness
18.3.1 Trend 1: Kunshan Retained No.1 in Comprehensive Competitiveness Evaluation for Five Consecutive Years
18.3.2 Trend 2: Increase in Chinese Cities\' Comprehensive Competitiveness Rankings
18.3.3. Trend 3: Five Shanghai Cities Posted Growth
18.3.4 Trend 4: Growth of Cities in Suzhou
18.3.5 Trend 5: Decline of Cities in Dongguan
18.3.6 Trend 6: Three Anhui Cities Listed in B-grade Ranking
18.3.7 Trend 7: Major Cities in West Triangle Economic Zone in A-grade List
18.3.8 Trend 8: Increase in Comprehensive Competitiveness of Northeast Chinese Cities
18.3.9 Trend 9: Decrease in Comprehensive Competitiveness of Middle-Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone
18.3.10 Trend 10: Decrease in Comprehensive Competitiveness of Yellow River Delta Economic Zone
Appendix
Glossary of Terms
List of Companies

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